Chen Zhongtao, a senior economist at the China Logistics Information Center, said in an interview with reporters that the international macroeconomic environment in which China is located in 2010 is extremely complicated, especially to guard against the "four wars" that may be launched against China.
"One of them is a trade war based on anti-dumping and countervailing investigations." Chen Zhongtao said that since the US government announced on September 11, last year that the United States has imposed a 35% punitive tariff on US tires, China and the United States and Central Europe The trade war between the two countries has been on the rise. The trade frictions of other countries against China are also increasing. During the post-financial crisis, both Chinese companies and governments should reform their ideas and actively respond.
Chen Zhongtao believes that the second need to guard against the "currency war" with the exchange rate as the means of manipulation. He said: "Not long ago, the Swiss National Bank announced interest rate cuts and began to purchase foreign currency to prevent the Swiss franc from appreciating, stimulating the Swiss franc to hit a larger one-day decline against the euro, which was the depreciation of the yen since the Bank of Japan in 2004. Since the beginning of the world, large central banks have officially intervened in the foreign exchange market for the first time. This may lead to a vicious circle of multi-international currencies falling into a competitive devaluation. In addition to active depreciation, some experts said that in recent years, the United States and other Western countries have repeatedly pressured the Chinese government to force the renminbi. Appreciation is also an expression of the implementation of the "currency war" in China.
The third is the "meteorological warfare and environmental warfare" with low-carbon economy as the means of manipulation. Chen Zhongtao pointed out that in the context of global warming, the low-carbon economy characterized by low energy consumption and low pollution has increasingly become a global hotspot. Under the new situation of the global low-carbon economy, it is foreseeable that some Western countries may impose tariffs on high-carbon products in China through disguised trade protectionism on the grounds of protecting the climate and the environment. .
The fourth is a "scientific warfare" characterized by new energy. Chen Zhongtao said that the current "new energy revolution" is quietly emerging on a global scale. At present, Europe and the United States have seized the commanding heights of the new energy revolution. Their deeper intention is to build a more advanced, competitive, and future-oriented infrastructure to reopen the engine of economic growth and once again dominate the global economic development and reshape Global international division of labor system. "To this trend, we must have scientific foresight, take the initiative to attack and enhance our country's position in the new round of international division of labor."
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